Politics · Trump polling drops
Trump Hits 33%, His Lowest Ever, as Economy Drags and a Minus-22 Jobs Claim Goes Unproven
Verified polls put Trump at 33%, his worst ever, with the economy at 32% — but the viral minus-22 jobs score and layoff odds come from a single unconfirmed roundup.
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Thirty-three percent. That is the number that can actually be pinned down in mid-August, and its scale is stark: one in three Americans approving of Donald Trump as president, the lowest mark of his presidency in one national poll and the lowest ever recorded for him in another stretching across both of his terms. 8 5
A Reuters/Ipsos poll concluded Monday, Aug. 17 found overall approval at 33%, described as the lowest of his presidency. 8 An Economist/YouGov poll fielded Aug. 11 found the identical topline — 33% approve, 62% disapprove — for a net of minus 29, described as his lowest ever and the smallest share to ever approve of his job handling in any Economist/YouGov poll across both Trump terms. 5
On the economy specifically, the verified standing is almost as weak. Fortune reported Aug. 2 that Trump’s approval on the economy had sunk to 32%, with even Republican support slipping. 2 A Financial Times/Focaldata poll found his net approval among Republicans fell 8 points in a month, tied to frustration over the economy and cost of living. 6 An AP-NORC poll released around Aug. 2 found approval still strong among Republicans on immigration, but not on the economy. 7
That split — immigration holding while the economy drags — is central to what can be confirmed about this moment. Trump remains a Republican-team figure on border and immigration questions in the AP-NORC reading, yet that loyalty is not transferring to household economics. 7 The Financial Times/Focaldata movement among his own partisans, an 8-point net fall in one month, points to cost of living rather than Washington process as the irritant. 6
Labor mood sours without hard proof
Labor-market sentiment looks sour in the same window, though in softer, more human terms than a single jobs-approval score. The Independent reported Aug. 16 that most voters say they are personally worse off under Trump, including one in five Republicans who said their finances had worsened after a year and a half of his second term. 3 Moody’s economist Mark Zandi said unemployment among U.S.-born workers is rising even as immigration has fallen. 4 A fact-check researched Aug. 15 put headline unemployment in roughly the low-4 percent range in the second term, alongside slowed job growth. 9
By Aug. 20 the verdict broadened. Newsweek reported Trump was underwater on all four core campaign issues, including fixing the economy. 10 The Angus Reid Institute put approval at 34%, with nearly half saying he had accomplished nothing in the second term. 11
A viral minus 22 without backup
Against that documented slide sits a much more dramatic set of figures that circulated in an already-aired HeyDay video: net approval on jobs at minus 22, down 32 points from plus 9 at the start of the second term and below plus 10 at the same point in the first term, with only 29% saying the country is on the right track on jobs, 63% calling it a bad time to find a quality job in the second quarter of 2026 against 33% calling it a good time, and prediction-market pricing putting a 92% chance that 2026 tech layoffs will exceed the 2025 total.
None of those specific numbers — the minus 22, the 32-point fall from plus 9, the plus 10 first-term comparison, the 29% right track, the 63% versus 33% jobs finding, or the 92% market odds — appear in the web sources supplied for this story. The narration itself flagged that the figures came from a single national polling roundup published Aug. 15 that has not yet been independently confirmed, and no source in the file identifies that roundup. The closest-dated item, the fact-check researched Aug. 15, discusses unemployment in general terms but does not contain those figures. 9
That does not mean the direction is wrong. A president at 33% overall, at 32% on the economy, down 8 points net among Republicans in a month on cost-of-living frustration, with most voters telling pollsters they feel worse off, would plausibly be weak on jobs as well. 8 2 6 3 But plausibility is not proof, and a 32-point collapse to minus 22 would be an unusually precise claim to rest on one uncorroborated roundup without a pollster name, sample, dates, margin of error, or question wording available to check.
The labor-market details deserve the same caution. That nearly two-to-one margin saying it is a bad time to find good work, and the near-certain market price on a record year for tech layoffs, would if true describe a hiring freeze with real consequences for whether families stay, move, retrain, or accept worse pay. Yet the file contains no actual 2026 layoff counts, no market venue or contract wording for the 92% price, and no jobs-sentiment questionnaire to evaluate. Zandi’s warning about rising U.S.-born unemployment and the low-4 percent headline rate with slower growth suggest softening, not a verified cliff. 4 9
What can be said with confidence is narrower but still significant: Trump entered mid-August with historically weak economic cover. Two different pollsters days apart converged on 33% overall approval. 5 8 His economic approval sat a point lower at 32% at the start of the month. 2 Republicans themselves were moving against him on the cost of living. 6 Voters were more likely to say their personal finances had deteriorated than improved, a striking admission inside his own coalition. 3 And by late August he trailed on the very promise — fix the economy — that powered his return to office. 10
Known
Unknown
- No verified source confirms -22 jobs approval, 32-point fall, 29% right track, 63% vs 33% jobs finding, or 92% layoff odds.
- No identified Aug. 15 roundup, sample, questions, or actual 2026 layoff totals.
Next
- Whether other late-August surveys confirm a jobs-specific collapse of that size.
- Whether hiring data and layoff counts catch up to the gloom voters report.
The honest next step is replication. If other national surveys in late August show jobs approval near minus 22 and large majorities calling it a bad time to find quality work, then the single-roundup number will look like an early signal. If they show a milder jobs deficit consistent with low-4 percent unemployment and 32% economic approval, then the video’s figures will look like an outlier. 9 2 Until then, readers should treat the confirmed 33% as the floor that is proven — and the minus 22 as a claim still waiting for a second witness.
Sources
- Trump's Jobs Approval Collapses 32 Points to -22 as Most Say It's a Bad Time to Find Work
- Trump's approval rating on the economy sinks to just 32%, and even Republicans support is dropping | Fortune
- Most voters say they are worse off under Trump, new poll says | The Independent
- Mark Zandi of Moody's: US-born unemployment rising despite immigration fall | Fortune
- Donald Trump's job approval falls to 33%
- Donald Trump's Net Approval Among Republicans Falls 8 Points in New Poll - Newsweek
- Why immigration remains strong for Trump among Republicans, according to AP-NORC poll | AP News
- Trump approval falls to 33%, lowest of his presidency, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds | MarketScreener
- How Is Trump Performing on U.S. Unemployment?
- How Trump’s Approval Rating Has Changed on Four Core Campaign Issues - Newsweek
- Trump at a Low: Approval drops to 34%, nearly half say he has accomplished ‘nothing’ in second term - Angus Reid Institute
Revision log
- r1First published.